Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at JWW Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.7%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1079–1513
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1161
Q3 1370
1689
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 21.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Water Allies | 21.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Vanitas | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
